Modern History Project

"A little learning is a
dangerous thing"

• Nervous traders

Financial
2008-03-17

"One UK economist warned that the world is now close to a 1930s-like Great Depression, while New York traders said they had never experienced such fear... A Goldman Sachs trader in New York said: "Everyone is in a total state of shock, aghast at what is happening. No one wants to talk, let alone deal; we're just standing by waiting. Everyone is nervous about what is going to emerge when trading starts tomorrow."

In the UK, Michael Taylor, a senior market strategist at Lombard, the economics consultancy, said on Friday night: "We have all been talking about a 1970s-style crisis but as each day goes by this looks more like the 1930s. No one has any clue as to where this is going to end; it's a self-feeding disaster." -- The Independent

"All of the brokerage houses are highly leveraged, with a high ratio of assets to shareholders equity, a sign they have used debt heavily to build up positions in hope of greater returns. Morgan Stanley, which will report Wednesday, had a leverage ratio of 32.6-to-1 at the end of last year, nearly as high as Bear Stearns 32.8-to-1. Lehman was leveraged 30.7-to-1, and Merrill Lynch 27.8-to-1. And the would-be rock, Goldman Sachs? It was leveraged 26.2-to-1.

Remember, Carlyle Capital was leveraged 32 to 1 ($22 billion equity) and went 'poof' in a matter of days when it couldn't scrape together a measly $400 million for a margin call. How vulnerable are these other maxed-out players now that the credit bubble has popped and the whole system is quickly unwinding?" -- Mike Whitney